📊
Prediction History
Track our model's performance over time
⚽
BTTS
50.7%
136W / 132L
-7.6%
📉
Under 2.5
46.5%
72W / 83L
-11.4%
📈
Over 2.5
52.8%
104W / 93L
+2.4%
🎯
1X2
47.1%
162W / 182L
-9.2%
📈 Performance Over Time 7-day rolling win rate
📊 Building history... Only 0 days of data so far. Chart becomes more useful after 14+ days.
Markets:
🎯 Model Calibration Predicted vs Actual win rates
65%+
Predicted: 70.3%
→
Actual: 54.5%
(167)
60-65%
Predicted: 62.4%
→
Actual: 50.0%
(158)
55-60%
Predicted: 57.4%
→
Actual: 51.7%
(203)
<55%
Predicted: 48.9%
→
Actual: 46.0%
(470)
A well-calibrated model has actual win rates close to predicted probabilities.
25 Predictions
Sorted by date (newest first)
🏠 Home Win
Liga MX
Toluca
v
Tigres UANL
Sun 14 Dec, 21:00
FT: 2-1
✓
WON
Prob: 46%
📈 Over 2.5
Liga MX
Toluca
v
Tigres UANL
Sun 14 Dec, 21:00
FT: 2-1
✓
WON
Prob: 56%
✈️ Away Win
Primeira Liga
Arouca
v
Alverca
Sun 14 Dec, 20:30
FT: 1-0
✗
LOST
Prob: 63%
📈 Over 2.5
Primeira Liga
Arouca
v
Alverca
Sun 14 Dec, 20:30
FT: 1-0
✗
LOST
Prob: 62%
Odds: 2.27
EV: +39.7%
-100%
📈 Over 2.5
La Liga
Alaves
v
Real Madrid
Sun 14 Dec, 20:00
FT: 1-2
✓
WON
Prob: 51%
✈️ Away Win
La Liga
Alaves
v
Real Madrid
Sun 14 Dec, 20:00
FT: 1-2
✓
WON
Prob: 44%
📈 Over 2.5
Ligue 1
Marseille
v
Monaco
Sun 14 Dec, 19:45
FT: 1-0
✗
LOST
Prob: 70%
🏠 Home Win
Ligue 1
Marseille
v
Monaco
Sun 14 Dec, 19:45
FT: 1-0
✓
WON
Prob: 65%
Odds: 1.88
EV: +11.8%
+88%
🏠 Home Win
Serie A
Bologna
v
Juventus
Sun 14 Dec, 19:45
FT: 0-1
✗
LOST
Prob: 56%
📉 Under 2.5
Serie A
Bologna
v
Juventus
Sun 14 Dec, 19:45
FT: 0-1
✓
WON
Prob: 54%
✈️ Away Win
Polish Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa
v
Piast Gliwice
Sun 14 Dec, 19:15
FT: 0-1
✓
WON
Prob: 43%
📈 Over 2.5
Polish Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa
v
Piast Gliwice
Sun 14 Dec, 19:15
FT: 0-1
✗
LOST
Prob: 52%
✈️ Away Win
Greek Super League
Panathinaikos
v
Volos NFC
Sun 14 Dec, 19:00
FT: 2-1
✗
LOST
Prob: 48%
📉 Under 2.5
Greek Super League
Panathinaikos
v
Volos NFC
Sun 14 Dec, 19:00
FT: 2-1
✗
LOST
Prob: 52%
🏠 Home Win
Romanian Liga 1
AFC Hermannstadt
v
Universitatea Craiova
Sun 14 Dec, 18:30
FT: 0-2
✗
LOST
Prob: 44%
📈 Over 2.5
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
v
VfB Stuttgart
Sun 14 Dec, 18:30
FT: 0-4
✓
WON
Prob: 60%
🏠 Home Win
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
v
VfB Stuttgart
Sun 14 Dec, 18:30
FT: 0-4
✗
LOST
Prob: 44%
📉 Under 2.5
Romanian Liga 1
AFC Hermannstadt
v
Universitatea Craiova
Sun 14 Dec, 18:30
FT: 0-2
✓
WON
Prob: 56%
🏠 Home Win
Belgian Pro League
Genk
v
KVC Westerlo
Sun 14 Dec, 18:15
FT: 1-1
✗
LOST
Prob: 39%
📈 Over 2.5
Belgian Pro League
Genk
v
KVC Westerlo
Sun 14 Dec, 18:15
FT: 1-1
✗
LOST
Prob: 55%
📉 Under 2.5
Belgian Pro League
Genk
v
KVC Westerlo
Sun 14 Dec, 18:15
FT: 1-1
✓
WON
Prob: 51%
Odds: 2.65
EV: +36.2%
+165%
🏠 Home Win
Primeira Liga
Moreirense
v
Benfica
Sun 14 Dec, 18:00
FT: 0-4
✗
LOST
Prob: 58%
📈 Over 2.5
Primeira Liga
Moreirense
v
Benfica
Sun 14 Dec, 18:00
FT: 0-4
✓
WON
Prob: 56%
🏠 Home Win
Greek Super League
Aris Thessalonikis
v
Olympiakos Piraeus
Sun 14 Dec, 18:00
FT: 0-0
✗
LOST
Prob: 49%
📉 Under 2.5
Greek Super League
Aris Thessalonikis
v
Olympiakos Piraeus
Sun 14 Dec, 18:00
FT: 0-0
✓
WON
Prob: 56%
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ℹ️ About Our Predictions
Our model uses xG (expected goals) analysis, team form, and historical data to identify value bets where bookmaker odds underestimate true probabilities.
Predictions are validated against backtests on 21,736+ historical matches. We only surface bets with a proven statistical edge.
Model version: v5.2 (BTTS) • v1.0 (O/U 2.5)