Dashboard

Betting intelligence powered by xG

E

💰 My Bets

0

Pending

0%

Win Rate

£0

Profit

Loading...

BTTS O/U 2.5 Stats
⚽

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ML-validated value bets • Backtested on 21,736 matches

192

Analysed

23

📉 Under

18

📈 Over

21%

Value Rate

📉

Under 2.5 Strategy

La Liga & Ligue 1 excluded

60.4%

Win Rate

+4.7%

ROI

📈

Over 2.5 Strategy

55%+ prob, 10%+ edge required

65.0%

Win Rate

+1.6%

ROI

Filters

🎯 12 Strong 15%+ ⭐ 6 Good 12-15% 👍 5 Moderate 10-12%

Strong Edge 15%+ (12)

🎯 STRONG A-League
Macarthur v Brisbane Roar
Fri 19 Dec, 07:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.07
Prob: 80% +33.6% edge
View analysis xG: 1.39
Expected Goals 1.39
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

80%

vs 48% bookie

Our Over

20%

vs 55% bookie

Under Edge +33.6%
Over Edge -33.6%
🎯 STRONG Serbian Super Liga
FK Crvena Zvezda v Mladost Lucani
Sat 20 Dec, 16:00
Under 2.5
@ 4.80
Prob: 53% +33.5% edge
View analysis xG: 1.94
Expected Goals 1.94
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

53%

vs 21% bookie

Our Over

47%

vs 85% bookie

Under Edge +33.5%
Over Edge -33.5%
🎯 STRONG Conference League
Crystal Palace v KuPS
Thu 18 Dec, 20:00
Under 2.5
@ 3.00
Prob: 57% +25.3% edge
View analysis xG: 1.86
Expected Goals 1.86
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

57%

vs 33% bookie

Our Over

43%

vs 71% bookie

Under Edge +25.3%
Over Edge -25.3%
🎯 STRONG A-League
Melbourne City v Melbourne Victory
Sat 20 Dec, 08:35
Under 2.5
@ 2.10
Prob: 67% +20.8% edge
View analysis xG: 1.66
Expected Goals 1.66
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

67%

vs 48% bookie

Our Over

33%

vs 56% bookie

Under Edge +20.8%
Over Edge -20.8%
🎯 STRONG Turkish Süper Lig
Galatasaray v Kasımpaşa
Sun 21 Dec, 18:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.99
Prob: 52% +19.5% edge
View analysis xG: 1.97
Expected Goals 1.97
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

52%

vs 33% bookie

Our Over

48%

vs 70% bookie

Under Edge +19.5%
Over Edge -19.5%
🎯 STRONG Serie A
Lazio v Cremonese
Sat 20 Dec, 17:00
Under 2.5
@ 1.94
Prob: 70% +19.1% edge
View analysis xG: 1.60
Expected Goals 1.60
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

70%

vs 52% bookie

Our Over

30%

vs 50% bookie

Under Edge +19.1%
Over Edge -19.1%
🎯 STRONG Bundesliga 2
1. FC Kaiserslautern v 1. FC Magdeburg
Sat 20 Dec, 12:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.50
Prob: 57% +18.6% edge
View analysis xG: 1.86
Expected Goals 1.86
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

57%

vs 40% bookie

Our Over

43%

vs 64% bookie

Under Edge +18.6%
Over Edge -18.6%
🎯 STRONG Scottish Premiership
Celtic v Aberdeen
Sun 21 Dec, 15:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.65
Prob: 54% +18.2% edge
View analysis xG: 1.91
Expected Goals 1.91
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

54%

vs 38% bookie

Our Over

46%

vs 67% bookie

Under Edge +18.2%
Over Edge -18.2%
🎯 STRONG A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers v Auckland
Fri 19 Dec, 09:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.13
Prob: 62% +17.3% edge
View analysis xG: 1.75
Expected Goals 1.75
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

62%

vs 47% bookie

Our Over

38%

vs 57% bookie

Under Edge +17.3%
Over Edge -17.3%
🎯 STRONG Belgian Pro League
Antwerp v Anderlecht
Sun 21 Dec, 17:30
Under 2.5
@ 1.87
Prob: 67% +16.0% edge
View analysis xG: 1.65
Expected Goals 1.65
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

67%

vs 53% bookie

Our Over

33%

vs 51% bookie

Under Edge +16.0%
Over Edge -16.0%
🎯 STRONG Scottish Championship
Dunfermline v Ayr Utd
Sat 20 Dec, 15:00
Under 2.5
@ 1.62
Prob: 75% +15.8% edge
View analysis xG: 1.50
Expected Goals 1.50
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

75%

vs 62% bookie

Our Over

25%

vs 43% bookie

Under Edge +15.8%
Over Edge -15.8%
🎯 STRONG Belgian Pro League
Union St. Gilloise v Zulte Waregem
Sat 20 Dec, 19:45
Under 2.5
@ 2.43
Prob: 55% +15.2% edge
View analysis xG: 1.90
Expected Goals 1.90
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

55%

vs 41% bookie

Our Over

45%

vs 62% bookie

Under Edge +15.2%
Over Edge -15.2%

Good Edge 12-15% (6)

⭐ GOOD Conference League
Omonia Nicosia v Raków Częstochowa
Thu 18 Dec, 20:00
Under 2.5
@ 1.70
Prob: 71% +14.0% edge
View analysis xG: 1.58
Expected Goals 1.58
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

71%

vs 59% bookie

Our Over

29%

vs 44% bookie

Under Edge +14.0%
Over Edge -14.0%
⭐ GOOD Serbian Super Liga
OFK Beograd v TSC Backa Topola
Sat 20 Dec, 16:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.00
Prob: 60% +13.0% edge
View analysis xG: 1.81
Expected Goals 1.81
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

60%

vs 50% bookie

Our Over

40%

vs 57% bookie

Under Edge +13.0%
Over Edge -13.0%
⭐ GOOD Scottish Championship
Partick v Raith Rovers
Sat 20 Dec, 15:00
Under 2.5
@ 1.70
Prob: 68% +12.6% edge
View analysis xG: 1.64
Expected Goals 1.64
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

68%

vs 59% bookie

Our Over

32%

vs 48% bookie

Under Edge +12.6%
Over Edge -12.6%
⭐ GOOD Primeira Liga
FC Porto v Estrela
Mon 15 Dec, 20:45
Under 2.5
@ 2.52
Prob: 51% +12.5% edge
View analysis xG: 1.99
Expected Goals 1.99
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

51%

vs 40% bookie

Our Over

49%

vs 65% bookie

Under Edge +12.5%
Over Edge -12.5%
⭐ GOOD Turkish Süper Lig
Alanyaspor v Fatih Karagümrük
Sun 21 Dec, 18:00
Under 2.5
@ 1.94
Prob: 62% +12.5% edge
View analysis xG: 1.75
Expected Goals 1.75
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

62%

vs 52% bookie

Our Over

38%

vs 52% bookie

Under Edge +12.5%
Over Edge -12.5%
⭐ GOOD Serie B
Virtus Entella v Sudtirol
Sun 21 Dec, 14:00
Under 2.5
@ 1.72
Prob: 68% +12.0% edge
View analysis xG: 1.63
Expected Goals 1.63
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

68%

vs 58% bookie

Our Over

32%

vs 45% bookie

Under Edge +12.0%
Over Edge -12.0%

Moderate Edge 10-12% (5)

👍 MODERATE Turkish Süper Lig
Eyüpspor v Fenerbahçe
Sun 21 Dec, 18:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.13
Prob: 57% +11.9% edge
View analysis xG: 1.85
Expected Goals 1.85
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

57%

vs 47% bookie

Our Over

43%

vs 56% bookie

Under Edge +11.9%
Over Edge -11.9%
👍 MODERATE Serie B
Avellino v Palermo
Sat 20 Dec, 16:15
Under 2.5
@ 1.82
Prob: 65% +11.8% edge
View analysis xG: 1.69
Expected Goals 1.69
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

65%

vs 55% bookie

Our Over

35%

vs 48% bookie

Under Edge +11.8%
Over Edge -11.8%
👍 MODERATE Belgian Pro League
St. Truiden v KV Mechelen
Sun 21 Dec, 15:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.30
Prob: 53% +10.9% edge
View analysis xG: 1.94
Expected Goals 1.94
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

53%

vs 43% bookie

Our Over

47%

vs 60% bookie

Under Edge +10.9%
Over Edge -10.9%
👍 MODERATE League Two
Cambridge United v Accrington ST
Fri 19 Dec, 19:45
Under 2.5
@ 1.67
Prob: 68% +10.7% edge
View analysis xG: 1.65
Expected Goals 1.65
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

68%

vs 60% bookie

Our Over

32%

vs 45% bookie

Under Edge +10.7%
Over Edge -10.7%
👍 MODERATE League One
Exeter City v Barnsley
Sat 20 Dec, 15:00
Under 2.5
@ 2.10
Prob: 57% +10.5% edge
View analysis xG: 1.87
Expected Goals 1.87
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

57%

vs 48% bookie

Our Over

43%

vs 56% bookie

Under Edge +10.5%
Over Edge -10.5%
🎯 2 Strong 15%+ ⭐ 7 Good 12-15% 👍 9 Moderate 10-12%

Strong Edge 15%+ (2)

🎯 STRONG Primeira Liga
Estrela v Moreirense
Sat 20 Dec, 20:30
Over 2.5
@ 2.38
Prob: 59% +20.1% edge
View analysis xG: 2.18
Expected Goals 2.18
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

41%

vs 67% bookie

Our Over

59%

vs 42% bookie

Under Edge -20.1%
Over Edge +20.1%
🎯 STRONG Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock v Falkirk
Sat 20 Dec, 15:00
Over 2.5
@ 2.07
Prob: 65% +18.2% edge
View analysis xG: 2.29
Expected Goals 2.29
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

35%

vs 56% bookie

Our Over

65%

vs 48% bookie

Under Edge -18.2%
Over Edge +18.2%

Good Edge 12-15% (7)

⭐ GOOD Segunda División
Huesca v Racing Santander
Sat 20 Dec, 15:15
Over 2.5
@ 2.12
Prob: 64% +17.8% edge
View analysis xG: 2.27
Expected Goals 2.27
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

36%

vs 56% bookie

Our Over

64%

vs 47% bookie

Under Edge -17.8%
Over Edge +17.8%
⭐ GOOD Serie B
Cesena v Juve Stabia
Sat 20 Dec, 14:00
Over 2.5
@ 2.55
Prob: 55% +16.9% edge
View analysis xG: 2.11
Expected Goals 2.11
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

45%

vs 62% bookie

Our Over

55%

vs 39% bookie

Under Edge -16.9%
Over Edge +16.9%
⭐ GOOD Swiss Super League
FC Thun v FC Zurich
Sat 20 Dec, 17:00
Over 2.5
@ 1.62
Prob: 74% +16.8% edge
View analysis xG: 2.47
Expected Goals 2.47
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

26%

vs 47% bookie

Our Over

74%

vs 62% bookie

Under Edge -16.8%
Over Edge +16.8%
⭐ GOOD Segunda División
Malaga v Almeria
Sun 21 Dec, 13:00
Over 2.5
@ 2.07
Prob: 63% +16.8% edge
View analysis xG: 2.27
Expected Goals 2.27
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

37%

vs 56% bookie

Our Over

63%

vs 48% bookie

Under Edge -16.8%
Over Edge +16.8%
⭐ GOOD Serie A
Sassuolo v Torino
Sun 21 Dec, 14:00
Over 2.5
@ 2.27
Prob: 60% +16.6% edge
View analysis xG: 2.20
Expected Goals 2.20
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

40%

vs 57% bookie

Our Over

60%

vs 44% bookie

Under Edge -16.6%
Over Edge +16.6%
⭐ GOOD Eredivisie
Heracles v Heerenveen
Sat 20 Dec, 15:30
Over 2.5
@ 1.62
Prob: 75% +15.6% edge
View analysis xG: 2.50
Expected Goals 2.50
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

25%

vs 42% bookie

Our Over

75%

vs 62% bookie

Under Edge -15.6%
Over Edge +15.6%
⭐ GOOD Bundesliga 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf v SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Sat 20 Dec, 12:00
Over 2.5
@ 1.68
Prob: 71% +15.2% edge
View analysis xG: 2.43
Expected Goals 2.43
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

29%

vs 46% bookie

Our Over

71%

vs 60% bookie

Under Edge -15.2%
Over Edge +15.2%

Moderate Edge 10-12% (9)

👍 MODERATE Swiss Super League
FC Winterthur v FC Thun
Tue 16 Dec, 19:30
Over 2.5
@ 1.49
Prob: 79% +15.0% edge
View analysis xG: 2.59
Expected Goals 2.59
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

21%

vs 37% bookie

Our Over

79%

vs 67% bookie

Under Edge -15.0%
Over Edge +15.0%
👍 MODERATE Conference League
Zrinjski v Rapid Vienna
Thu 18 Dec, 20:00
Over 2.5
@ 2.32
Prob: 56% +14.6% edge
View analysis xG: 2.13
Expected Goals 2.13
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

44%

vs 60% bookie

Our Over

56%

vs 43% bookie

Under Edge -14.6%
Over Edge +14.6%
👍 MODERATE Conference League
Shamrock Rovers v Hamrun Spartans
Thu 18 Dec, 20:00
Over 2.5
@ 2.05
Prob: 62% +14.5% edge
View analysis xG: 2.24
Expected Goals 2.24
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

38%

vs 54% bookie

Our Over

62%

vs 49% bookie

Under Edge -14.5%
Over Edge +14.5%
👍 MODERATE Premier League
Newcastle v Chelsea
Sat 20 Dec, 12:30
Over 2.5
@ 1.79
Prob: 68% +13.5% edge
View analysis xG: 2.37
Expected Goals 2.37
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

32%

vs 46% bookie

Our Over

68%

vs 56% bookie

Under Edge -13.5%
Over Edge +13.5%
👍 MODERATE Serie B
Pescara v Reggiana
Sat 20 Dec, 18:30
Over 2.5
@ 2.16
Prob: 56% +13.2% edge
View analysis xG: 2.12
Expected Goals 2.12
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

44%

vs 62% bookie

Our Over

56%

vs 46% bookie

Under Edge -13.2%
Over Edge +13.2%
👍 MODERATE Bundesliga 2
1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96
Sun 21 Dec, 12:30
Over 2.5
@ 1.75
Prob: 68% +12.7% edge
View analysis xG: 2.36
Expected Goals 2.36
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

32%

vs 47% bookie

Our Over

68%

vs 57% bookie

Under Edge -12.7%
Over Edge +12.7%
👍 MODERATE League Two
Crewe v Bristol Rovers
Fri 19 Dec, 19:45
Over 2.5
@ 1.91
Prob: 62% +12.6% edge
View analysis xG: 2.25
Expected Goals 2.25
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

38%

vs 53% bookie

Our Over

62%

vs 52% bookie

Under Edge -12.6%
Over Edge +12.6%
👍 MODERATE Romanian Liga 1
Metaloglobus v Unirea Slobozia
Sat 20 Dec, 12:30
Over 2.5
@ 2.27
Prob: 55% +12.6% edge
View analysis xG: 2.10
Expected Goals 2.10
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

45%

vs 60% bookie

Our Over

55%

vs 44% bookie

Under Edge -12.6%
Over Edge +12.6%
👍 MODERATE Swiss Super League
FC Sion v FC Winterthur
Sat 20 Dec, 17:00
Over 2.5
@ 1.67
Prob: 68% +12.5% edge
View analysis xG: 2.35
Expected Goals 2.35
0 2.5 line 5+

Our Under

32%

vs 49% bookie

Our Over

68%

vs 60% bookie

Under Edge -12.5%
Over Edge +12.5%

📊 O/U Model Stats

LIVE

21,736 matches validated

Under 2.5 60.4%
Over 2.5 65.0%
+4.7%

Under ROI

+1.6%

Over ROI

🎯 Edge Tiers

Strong
15%+
Good
12-15%
Moderate
10-12%
Speculative
5-10%
ℹ️ How It Works

Under 2.5 = 0, 1, or 2 total goals in match

Over 2.5 = 3+ total goals in match

Edge = Our probability minus bookmaker's implied probability

⚠️ Under Exclusions: La Liga & Ligue 1 historically negative ROI

💰 Suggested Stakes

Flat 1.5-2% of bankroll

£75

on £5k

£150

on £10k

£300

on £20k